Posted by
thekeenobserver on Tuesday, April 21, 2009 6:29:55 PM
FLASHBACK TO THE GOOD OLD DAYS: Remember when you were a little kid, and Aunt Edna or Uncle Marty would come over to visit, and hand you MONEY? If they were a cheapskate, they'd maybe fork over a quarter (or a 50-cent piece); but if they were on the generous side, they might be good for a whole buck (or more) every time you'd see 'em.
But in any event, they'd always tell you to "put this in your piggy bank"..."save this for a rainy day"... or, "don't spend this foolishly"..."have Mommy save this for you," or even..."save this for college."
Oh yes-- those were the good ol' days indeed, when we all had that notion of SAVING pounded into us as children.
But nowadays, if we were to bestow upon our favorite nephew or niece (or grandchild) a cash handout, could we honestly look them in the eye and advise them to save it for the future? HAH!
Like the kitchen cookie jar, is a kid's bedroom piggy bank about to become obsolete? But what has changed? Why all the skepticism about our children's financial horizons?
Well, for the answer, just turn your prayer rug to the east, and hope that our wonderful Congressional legislators in Washington DC aren't setting us up for a nice, old-fashioned bout of hyperinflation--1920's Germany style.
Everyone has heard the story a million times of some poor-soul, hungry, hapless German pushing a wheelbarrow full of 'worthless marks' to the store for a loaf of bread; but maybe Americans should stop all their complacency, and begin to take this scenario seriously.
Imagine going into your favorite swanky restaurant, enjoying a leisurely 5-course meal, and to your great dismay, discovering the price for the dinner has gone up since you first ordered! That's hyperinflation in the real world.
Or imagine going into a showroom, taking a gander at the window sticker, then after a long, inquisitive, and careful test drive, you return to the dealership and discover that same car now costs MORE than when you first saw it...that too, is hyperinflation in the real world.
Actually, hyperinflation has occurred twice in American history:
In 1775, the Continental Dollar was a series of notes designed to support the revolution. Its plates were crudely engraved by Paul Revere himself, and were printed on such thick paper that the British referred to them derisively as..."the paste-board money of the rebels."
Clearly, The British were on to something.
In the original 1775 printing, there were $6 million in new Continental notes; but by the end of 1776, the Continental Congress had ordered up $25 million of additional currency printed, and at the SAME time, the individual colonies were printing up their own money, called "bills of credit".
Can one even imagine the chaos of being paid in paper, that was worth little more than a mere promise-- i.e. not backed by gold or silver (specie)?
It is said that more men deserted at Valley Forge-- not so because of their unwillingness to fight the Redcoats-- but because they had no faith of being paid in questionable currency. After all, an AWOL continental soldier could expect to return to his farm and grow cash crops, or raise hogs for a TANGIBLE profit.
Incredibly, by 1781, Continental regulars had to shell out $600 for new a set of boots. And to add insult to injury, a soldier was charged a whopping $10 for a simple spool of thread, just to repair his tattered blue uniform (you were only issued one).
By the end of the war, there had been an incredible $241 million worth of continental dollars printed up, and they literally became wallpaper after they were declared worthless in November 1781, after undergoing a hyperinflation rate of over 2500 percent!
Remember--whenever people lose faith in the currency, there is always social chaos as a price to be paid.
By the end of World War I in 1918 Germany , it took TEN marks to purchase what just ONE would buy before the war. And by the end of the 1920's, the mark was also considered worthless, and from all the violence and social upheaval arose a Mr. Adolf Hitler.
Going way back, many Americans recall all the old jokes of being paid in "Confederate money." But if you were living in the South between 1862-1865, hyperinflation was nothing to laugh about.
During the Civil war, Confederate war financing consisted of over $1.5 billion in paper dollars that began depreciating BEFORE the ink had a chance to dry. Confederate officials had preferred that the currency be backed not by specie, but rather public confidence in the Confederacy’s survival after the war.
This being the case, each Southern state printed up their own personalized Confederate "brand" of currency (diluting the money further). Plus, the fact that these poorly printed bills were easily counterfeited would make things all the worse.
Ironically, the Confederate decision to print paper money in lieu of a system of taxation (or to not sell "war" bonds) brought on the most oppressive form of defacto taxation any society can endure--runaway hyperinflation.
By war's end, Confederate currency saw an incredible inflation rate topping 9,000 percent!
Predictably, there were thirteen known food riots in the South during the latter years of the war. Jefferson Davis tried to stop a bread riot in Richmond by offering rampaging housewives money from his own pockets. But his money was as worthless as theirs, and the angry mob only dispersed after Davis threatened that his troops would open fire if they didn’t skidaddle back home.
No matter what the era, loss of confidence in the currency begets hyperinflation...then opposing forces take over to accelerate it even further. These include unwillingness of suppliers to produce, and the consumers’ rising preference for hoarding of necessities, as it becomes incumbent to spend money as fast it comes in.
In hyper-inflation, money loses most of its value practically overnight, to the point where all confidence is lost. And thanks to our dearly-beloved Congress, and Bernard Bernacke's printing press in the fed basement, the rest of the world may soon regard the American dollar as the British once did in 1770's-- "not worth the thick paper its printed on."
And for all you skeptics out there who say..."Oh no, this couldn't happen in modern day America," then just look back in history and you'll see the future --and its not a pretty picture.
QUESTION: What has changed since the days of the Continental congress, when they ran the colonial printing presses flat-out for six entire years? ANSWER: practically nothing.
Nowadays, Congress and our central bankers just love to keep printing money, believing they can somehow "manage" the economy through the manipulation of interest rates and the money supply.
But unlike the colonial times, we have that looming problem of a national debt escalating faster than a speeding bullet train; and therefore, the government printing press is necessary to monetize the escalating federal debt that our leftist politicians thrive on, as they recklessly mortgage the future of both our country and our children.
Remember all the cool commercials for US savings bonds? Well bring 'em back! We need to resume selling them, as raising taxes has reached its upper limits.
In 2010, voters will undoubtedly seek to clean house in the midterm Congressional elections, but it may be too late; there may already be too much money in the deficit spending pipeline to avoid a financial apocalypse. It doesn’t take a genius to realize that ominous storm clouds are gathering on the horizon:
With Bernacke printing literally trillions of paper dollars and injecting them into our economy, inflation of the currency is inevitable. So can anyone deny this, and still be telling the TRUTH at the same time?
Now couple that with our rapidly rising unemployment rate--- according to the Department of Commerce, it’s at 8.75 percent; but these figures are being fudged by the Obama administration-- in all actuality, almost 1 in 7 people are out of work now, or will be shortly.
And what about economic development which requires investment? With both large and small businesses held hostage by what the pro-Socialist Obama administration may do next, the economy (like the stock market) will inevitably languor in the future, faced with higher business taxes, cap & trade, environmental taxes on energy, and a general anti-business, pro-entitlement attitude in Washington.
But without some miracle, our economy has only one direction to go--south.
So let's do the final analysis: We're heading for something that never before has been seen in America--not even during the disastrous days of the late 70's Carter economy-- hyperstagflation!
And how can it be avoided, with high inflation, low economic development, and high unemployment?
Every single example in history-- all the way back to Rome-- reveals that hyperinflation always begins during a deflationary period, and is a combination of a rapid increase in the money supply, coupled with a rapid loss of confidence in the system.
So does this sound like a plausible scenario, given the insane, out of control, DEFICIT spending going in Washington today?
Now couple this with our foreign lenders, who may shut off the credit spigots, and we end up by the next decade with the worst of all possible economic scenarios-- a hyperinflationary depression!
And while there may be no bread riots, or people hauling dollars around in wheelbarrows for a pound of baloney, you can bet your last roll of pennies that if we do reap the consequences of Congress' incredibly profligate deficit spending, the United states will literally become a third world nation overnight, with gold at $2500/oz., gasoline at 11-12 dollars per gallon, grocery prices on the moon, and four-digit utility bills, with people riding bikes outside, and wood-burning cast iron stoves for "central heating" on the inside.
It'll be just like going back to the good old days, when modern conveniences weren't even around.
Back in his day, Thomas Jefferson often warned of the damage caused if the people assigned control of the money supply to the banking sector...(quote) "I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies."
Jefferson wrote..."If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of currency-- first by inflation, then by deflation-- the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property, until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered."
Now if only Jefferson were alive today, and could be appointed for Secretary of the Treasury.
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