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Bernanke's Casino of Paper

 

Let's be very specific:

 

What REALLY caused the Great Depression? Contrary to popular opinion, Herbert Hoover- falsely accused- had little to do with it.

 

On October 29, 1929, Congress passed the Smoot Hawley Tariff - the same day of the infamous Wall Street Stock market crash. 

 

Actually, Smoot Hawley had NOT been designed to protect U.S. manufactured goods:

 

It's implementation arose from heavy pressure by American farmers, whose exports - although booming during the early 1920's - began falling with the resurgence of European agricultural producers, who'd finally recovered from World War I. 

 

Also in 1929, Europe's economy was rapidly declining, causing Germany to default on its (Treaty of Versailles) war reparations' payments to the Allies.

 

After the German default was announced, panicked European money traders began converting their English pounds into gold. After an 18-month run, Britain's gold reserves were approaching danger levels.

 

Thus, in early 1931, the Bank of London  announced it would no longer peg the British pound to the price of gold. The pound promptly fell in value by 20%.

 

Now the real American crisis began to unfold.

 

A less-valuable pound made British exports more competitive, because they became cheaper in foreign markets; this caused U.S. products to become more expensive overseas, and American exports of manufactured goods "fell off the table."

 

This sudden decline in exports led to rapid job losses in the U.S. manufacturing sector, and concomitantly, American farmers were also going under. 

 

By September 1931 - with Britain having abandoned its gold standard - foreign depositors in large New York banks, fearing America might follow suit, rushed to convert their cash deposits to gold.

 

Now the effect began to snowball all across America.

 

Sudden withdrawal demands in metropolitan areas started a massive panic, as banks everywhere were suddenly bled dry of gold deposits.

 

By the end of 1931, a liquidity crisis had caused the failure of 2,300 banks.

 

In late1932, there was near-panic, reaching its peak in March 1933, when new president Franklin Roosevelt decared all banks closed for a four-day holiday.

 

Hence it was "demon gold"- initiated by the protective policies of the Bank of London- that actually opened the door to the Great depression; and Smoot Hawley, along with the hapless Herbert Hoover, have needlessly shouldered much of the blame.

 

But history remains accurate in maligning the Federal Reserve for its deflationary, high-interest rate policy of the 1930's, which PROLONGED - not caused- the Great Depression. 

 

Today, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke claims he is a student of all this; and remains confident that by taking the opposite tack (zero prime interest rates) he can prevent a second depression, with an expansive - rather than restrictive - monetary policy approach.

 

But "zero-interest" Bernanke ignores the obvious at America's peril:

 

As Bernacke floods the world with cheaper U.S. dollars (unbacked by gold) to fund Obama's obscene deficits, our currency buys less a home, but enables other nations - now holding more dollars - to purchase more of the world's commodities, thereby making them more expensive to American consumers.

 

Have you priced a box of cereal lately? Or how 'bout an 8-pack of beer? Do you often wonder why- despite declining demand - U.S. gas prices remain "artificially" high?

 

Indeed- the dollar's trouble has begun:

 

As domestic prices keep going up (with interest rates zero) the Fed must either raise rates - or print more money. Thus, we are now imperiled by a possible "dollar-death-spiral" down to a third world country. As long as the bearded Fed boss keeps printing "money from nowhere"-  choosing to inflate the dollar - the situation only becomes worse.

 

In just the last quarter (March to June) the dollar's value has fallen an ominous 11% against the Euro....a result of the growing U.S. deficit (O-Bamanomics), which is reducing confidence in the dollar's value as it trades overseas. 

 

In stark terms, this means the European standard of living has risen 11%; but the American public's purchasing power is down by that same 11% - without even realizing it!

 

Indeed...dollar ignorance is NOT bliss! 

 

EXAMPLE #2: Let's say you're a real shrewdie, and you've hidden $100,000 in your basement freezer in "Benjamins" - $100 dollar bills.

 

Well guess what mister Shrewdie - although it's the same total amount - your NET loss since March is 11%. But despite the grievous decline from inflation, you did NOT even realize it; and those precious Benjamins are now worth only $89.00 each.

 

This is similar to why gambling casinos issue you chips; as you lose money, the loss seems ethereal; whereas if you were playing with actual dollars, losses would immediately be apparent, and you would withdraw from the game.

 

Hence there has been no political backlash against the recklessness of the sneaky fools that call themselves the Obama administration, as they treat America's dollar assets as if they were poker chips.

 

Thanks to their profligate spending/printing, sooner or later, the public will realize we are fast careening downward to an economic waterloo--- all of our own making.

 

What Obama and his two dunces- Bernanke and Geithner - are doing resembles a circus high-wire juggling act; but sooner or later it's bound to fall:

 

-How much longer can they keep the dollar from plunging?

-How much longer will the price of gold stay down?

-How much longer can they keep the level of the stock market up?

 

Any changes in one (or all of the above) will trigger the downward  spiral, and once begun, what's to stop it?

 

Right now the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been relatively healthy; but people have failed to notice the REAL leading indicator of trouble.

 

As of late June, the NASDAQ recently fell below 1800- a critical support level - portending  "net-zero" future job growth.

 

Why? This means entrepreneurs who start new companies (who list on NASDAQ) - now denied tax cuts and incentives - are literally frozen in fear by the political whims of Obama; and (like the1930's) lack confidence in hiring or expanding until the outlook becomes clearer. 

 

In the roaring bull market of 1982-87, it was the NASDAQ - not the Dow - that powered the decade-long 80's boom. 

 

Stocks of brand new companies like Apple & Microsoft - and the tech sector in general- were the drivers of America's economic growth during those "go-go" Reagan years.

 

And in the 90's, it wasn't the economic policies of Bill Clinton, but rather the wealth created by the booming rise in the NASDAQ, this time powered by the internet companies that were founded by the entrepreneurs of "Silicon Valley."

 

But as we head into the next decade, once again lets be very specific: the essential need for economic recovery calls for America to commence producing SOMETHING besides mountains of debt.

 

But lacking any real foundation, the Bernanke-Obama-Geithner juggling act WILL inevitably fall. The Fed's insane "money from nothing" printing press, and the Obama phony anti-stimulus, is just delaying the inevitable.

 

Have a wonderful life.

 

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"Fiscal marxism"-- Obama's secret passage to socialism


Thomas Jefferson- third President of the United States, sage philosopher, and brilliant author of the Declaration of Independence. A strong believer in individual rights, free speech, freedom of religion, as well as a free press.

However, what was indeed most noteworthy about President Jefferson is that he did NOT believe that the federal government should carry a large national debt.

Jefferson had long witnessed the narrow thread upon which the Revolutionary War dangled for all those perilous months, until Ben Franklin was able to persuade King Louie XIV that the colonies were indeed credit-worthy following their "shocking upset" victory at Saratoga-- which convinced the French (and the world) that the Americans were not just a bunch of rebellious upstarts.

As a result, by the end of the Revolutionary war in 1783, America was already in hock for 72 million dollars, which in those days, was a sum that threatened to derail the very establishment of our republic-- a nation that has mostly flourished for its entire 235 years.

So during his term in office, President Jefferson made a concerted effort at reducing the national debt, and repealed many federal taxes that had been put in by his predecessors.

Jefferson was the original Ronald Reagan.

While he is credited with the Louisiana Purchase, it may never have happened had the French not been so cash-strapped because of their ongoing contemporary war with England. Hence Jefferson was able to barter down the French all the way to the astounding desperation price of 3 million dollars, in return for doubling the size of America.

Jefferson, like Hamilton and Franklin, was one of our many Founders that "had a way" with money.

Back in the mid-1700's, writing in "Poor Richard's Almanac," Benjamin Franklin always encouraged the virtues of industry, thrift, and above all, staying OUT of debt. Franklin's  well known motto was, "neither a borrower nor a lender be."

A skilled horseman, Franklin wrote..."Prosperity, well mounted, when she let go of the bridle, would soon come tumbling out of the saddle" (i.e. prosperity is easily lost unless safeguards exist to prevent excessive debt).

Even 260 years ago as a young printer, he was a supporter and firm believer in free enterprise, for without it, Franklin understood there would be nothing to motivate one to make life better.

Franklin's insight also reveals that he deeply understood that without rules and regulations, it would only take a few to spoil things for everyone, and cause economic anarchy, writing: "Whither it bespeaks of commerce or sport, without rules there is chaos."

The Dutch Pennsylvanians living in Philadelphia influenced Franklin. They lived by the credo..." always pay cash for everything."

Throughout all time, the greatest leaders and philosophers of the world understood the importance of fiscal prudence. Hammurabi, Plato, Charlemagne, Dante, and both Queen Mary and Queen Elizabeth of England-- all condemned the perils of being in debt.

Now contrast all the above to another infamous and well known "monetarist", Vladimir Lenin, who believed in a rather different approach to economics..."The best way to destroy the capitalist system is DEBAUCH the currency".

Lenin continues:
 
"By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, SECRETLY and UNOBSERVED, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method, they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually ENRICHES some."
 
This is a shocking revelation into the mind of a marxist-- a stealthy covert approach to not only wealth re-distribution, but ruination of a nation!

Inflation is theft cloaked in monetary terminology. By eroding the value of a currency, inflation punishes producers, undermines investors and savers, and connives creditors slowly into ruin -- but all the while, rewarding debtors.

And where the U.S. is concerned-- inflation, high unemployment, and stagflation-- all are soon to become re-incarnated from the ghosts of a presidency past (circa 1980--Jimmy Carter).

In just the last five months there has been an explosion in M1, (the basic money supply) which is cash, total demand and government deposits with commercial banks, and money in all the federal reserve banks.

And to end our recession, Bernard Bernanke is busily printing money in the ole fed basement; thus we may about to be running an even greater risk than what Carter put us through-- hyper-inflation.

Hyperinflation can destroy a nation literally overnight, such as 1920's Germany, who's currency had collapsed tenfold after the end of World War I.

And with Barack Obama it may take awhile, but never fear, he'll see to it that we get there. After all, with a monetary marxist in charge, why should we even be concerned?

And what's to worry about? A measly projected 16 trillion dollar national debt by 2012? That's no big deal to Obama and his congressional komrades. Da! The more the merrier! Just keep Bernacke cranking away on his trusty printing press.

Money may not grow on trees, but to Obama & company it's the next best thing.

At the beginning of the year, we were paying approximately $450 billion a year on the national debt. But that total will probably rise up to near 650 billion by the end of our anti-president's first term. This is just the interest.

So our creditors will act just as any good credit card company would do. The more you owe, the less credit-worthy you become, and the higher interest rate you'll pay.

Obama's projections (just with his budget plan) will spend 23 trillion dollars over the next 10 years. 23 TRILLION!  And that's without adding in the "stimulus", or the "throw us all under the Omnibus bill," nor adding in the1 trillion dollars secretly sent into the economy  by Bernacke from his latest monopoly-money batch of fresh greenbacks.

At these withering monetary heights, even Vlad Lenin himself might have gotten the willies. The U.S. government is printing money to loan to itself. So that means, we take a trillion from our left pocket, write an IOU in place of it, and put that money in our right pocket.

Earth to Bernacke...You can't climb out of a hole by digging deeper! You cannot spend down debts with more debt. Even Herbert Hoover would blanche at trying that.

Yes indeed, Mr. Obama sure took that scalpel to government spending like he promised in his campaign. But isn't it funny how Obama supporters attempt to justify his outrageous spending proposals by pointing out that President Bush ran up the deficit as well?

Now that's a sure way to solve the problem. And to what end will these Obammunists spend?

Recently, Obama said he was... "scouring every corner of the budget to produce two trillion dollars in deficit reductions over the next decade"...and arguing that... "My economic proposals offer a long-term solution to America’s structural problems, and are not “a wish list of priorities that I picked out of thin air."

Yes Mr. Obama, we believe in you. We sure do.

All the initiatives over the last 6 weeks that were meant to "stimulate our economy" are pure political paybacks to the unions, the environmental fruitcakes, the pro-illegal immigrants lobby, and the "let's apologize to all the other countries of the world so they'll start to like us again" crowd.

Obama obviously believes in transferring wealth Lenin's way-- invisibly--via inflation, and by the establishment of his "world economic initiative."

And what about those wealth-destroying taxes on the people who--in Obama's mind-- have "more than they need".

Maybe it's time to re-introduce the words of Vladimir Lenin, who summed it up best...."By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, SECRETLY and UNOBSERVED, an important part of the wealth of their citizens."

These have really been the root of Obama's goals and achievements. He and his socialist admirers in the Congress are either so utterly stupid, or they have a grand plot to bankrupt the country, marching all together to the tune of Lenin & Marx-- the two "beatles" who wrote the tenets of communism.

And Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner in which... "not one man in a million is able to diagnose."

Obama's loathsome budget will bury the United States with his covert goal--a looming, pre-manufactured deliberate crisis-- where  the only way to NOT to have a total financial collapse will be for the government to seize control of every aspect of business.

Sound familiar?

This will result in having the United States turn from capitalism to complete socialism, which is the only thing that will come from Obama's budget-- a 21st century economy where our children are dependent on liberal government handouts forever.

There is no other reason for describing why Obama is doing what he is doing.

And either way, the free market republic our Founders fought so hard to establish, will not survive.



www.keenobserver.blogtownhall.com


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Will Obama and hyperinflation destroy this nation? Yes he can!


Get out the wheelbarrows. Prepare for heavy lifting. Congress is setting us up for 1920's Germany, and the hyperinflation that once destabilized that country-- leading to the rise of a Austrian lad who's grandfather went by the name of Shicklegruber (Adolf Hitler).
 
In only the last five months, the U.S. overall money supply (M-I) has nearly tripled. M1 includes cash, total demand and government deposits with commercial banks, and money in all the federal reserve banks. And according to best current estimates, M2 (the current money supply in circulation) is hovering at just around 7 trillion dollars--give or take a few hundred billion.
 
But ho hum--a hundred billion here and a hundred billion there-- no big deal to a Congress bent on keeping themselves in power, while they simultaneously destroy every American wage earner's standard of living-- perhaps permanently.
 
Our hallowed 111th Congress is acting like a college freshmen who's just received his (her) first credit card, deficit spending as if they were awarded some unlimited ethereal financial prize, to be spent as one sees fit --with no accountability--and no consequences.
 
To an extent this is true.
 
Yes, long after the inevitable hyper-inflation overcomes America- perhaps ten, fifteen, or even 20 years down the road, the recklessly-spending Congressional perpetrators can choose not to run, and retire on federal pension worthy of a monarch.
 
But does anyone realize that this money the Congress is now delegating for stimulus, supplemental budget expenses, etc. isn't real money, or in fact, that it is not OUR money?

The money is not borrowed. The money is PRINTED.

Current amount of money in circulation (M2) = 7 trillion. Now add the 1 trillion anti-stimulus bill Obama signed into law recently, and every dollar American workers will now earn is worth 14.2% less-- just like that.
 
Now add the 410 billion supplemental budget federal spending bill (earmark-laden) that has just passed, and do the math again: $410 Billion divided by $7 Trillion = 5%. That's right sports fans, in just 3 weeks, your buck has just turned into little more than 6 bits...an inflation rate of almost 20% in less than a month!
 
And the wheelbarrow is getting heavier --basically amounting from more debt to pay off debt. Such fiscal brilliance! The "big money" liberals trying make the impossible possible-- printing money backed by nothing, pretending the interest is free (non-existent).
 
Nancy Pelosi wants a second anti-stimulus bill; Fed chairmen Bernacke says the first one "may not have been enough". Barney Frank is calling for more stimulus. Obama wants 600 billion for revamping (socializing) health care...a Congress running rampant with earmarks...Hillary wants almost a billion to rebuild Gaza. And always accompanied with that ad-nauseum exhortation: "We need to act now."
 
Sure: Act now-- but pay later-- and to what disastrous end?

But mysteriously this fiscal recklessness is never called into question by the media. Even Herbert Hoover would probably know that to add more debt onto an already growing $12.4 trillion existing pyramid of financial obligation would invite catastrophe.

The annual debt interest payment right now is at $600 billion--and growing--an unsustainable amount. Yet Obama and the Congress want to add another 3.4 trillion in deficit spending to fund a boundless plethora of unending federal programs--fiscal insanity on steroids!

Meanwhile, "the bearded one"- Ben Bernacke-- will be toiling away, printing all this "new money" in the fed basement.

And it matters not when Bernanke injects this newly printed money into the economy—it’s how much that counts, because all fed injections immediately act to distort the nation's production structure. The larger the injections (and the longer they continue) the larger will be the distortions. These "funny-money" injections equal more dollars chasing the same amount of goods and services-- ergo...inflation-- which exerts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.
 
With the eventual surging of prices at home, and a depreciating exchange rate, foreign holders of greenbacks might one day decide that they have had "enough"-- starting a run on the currency by dumping their dollar balances-- forcing the Fed to raise interest rates ever higher, and triggering a more devastating recession; or a scenario even worse than the original Great Depression-- a second hyperinflationary depression-- 1920's Germany revisited.
 
In a more simple analysis, let's say we've been building a debt pyramid over the last decade, and now we'll be adding huge new amounts to the base at the bottom, while all the while, the interest will be coalescing at the top. And given time and the continuation of reckless deficit spending, the debt pyramid may become distorted in shape-- growing top heavy-- and at last, it tips over.

Ergo...hyperinflation.

But our beloved anti-president, Mr. Barack Obama, will be long gone out of office when and if that occurs; and of course, living large on his ex-presidential pension.

So should the "average Joe" be mindful about WHEN and IF we do run out of the printing option? And how much of a concern should it be now for all Americans, who already have more than enough to worry about concerning the economy?

Could the world eventually become so flooded with PAPER dollars, that some of our lesser foreign creditors begin to say: "Okay Meester Bernacke...we hold enough of these flimsy dollars now, so if your foolish American Congress wants more credit, we'll need something more solid than all this paper currency in return."

So bye bye Fort Knox...hello national insolvency. And then what?

Then it'll be time to break out the Kruggerands (gold coins) hidden in the cellar, because American money won't be worth the paper it's printed on-- and the Fed won't even have enough credit left to purchase the the green ink.

And the OPEC countries and the Chinese (previously reluctant to dun their number one trading partner) will then be forced to pull their "debt  triggers", and deliver the final coupe de' gras. Then its turn out the lights America-- the party's over. We'll have descended into the financial nether existence of a third world nation, totally bereft of all liquid assets, with liabilities extending "as far as the eye can see..."

So Mexico-- prepare for a taste of your own medicine: Americans might one day be reverse-migrating into your territory, with all of them seeking a sense of survival after hyperinflation comes to the fore, and completely destroys the affluence of a once-proud and powerful nation.


www.keenobserver.blogtownhall.com

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