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Bernanke's Casino of Paper

 

Let's be very specific:

 

What REALLY caused the Great Depression? Contrary to popular opinion, Herbert Hoover- falsely accused- had little to do with it.

 

On October 29, 1929, Congress passed the Smoot Hawley Tariff - the same day of the infamous Wall Street Stock market crash. 

 

Actually, Smoot Hawley had NOT been designed to protect U.S. manufactured goods:

 

It's implementation arose from heavy pressure by American farmers, whose exports - although booming during the early 1920's - began falling with the resurgence of European agricultural producers, who'd finally recovered from World War I. 

 

Also in 1929, Europe's economy was rapidly declining, causing Germany to default on its (Treaty of Versailles) war reparations' payments to the Allies.

 

After the German default was announced, panicked European money traders began converting their English pounds into gold. After an 18-month run, Britain's gold reserves were approaching danger levels.

 

Thus, in early 1931, the Bank of London  announced it would no longer peg the British pound to the price of gold. The pound promptly fell in value by 20%.

 

Now the real American crisis began to unfold.

 

A less-valuable pound made British exports more competitive, because they became cheaper in foreign markets; this caused U.S. products to become more expensive overseas, and American exports of manufactured goods "fell off the table."

 

This sudden decline in exports led to rapid job losses in the U.S. manufacturing sector, and concomitantly, American farmers were also going under. 

 

By September 1931 - with Britain having abandoned its gold standard - foreign depositors in large New York banks, fearing America might follow suit, rushed to convert their cash deposits to gold.

 

Now the effect began to snowball all across America.

 

Sudden withdrawal demands in metropolitan areas started a massive panic, as banks everywhere were suddenly bled dry of gold deposits.

 

By the end of 1931, a liquidity crisis had caused the failure of 2,300 banks.

 

In late1932, there was near-panic, reaching its peak in March 1933, when new president Franklin Roosevelt decared all banks closed for a four-day holiday.

 

Hence it was "demon gold"- initiated by the protective policies of the Bank of London- that actually opened the door to the Great depression; and Smoot Hawley, along with the hapless Herbert Hoover, have needlessly shouldered much of the blame.

 

But history remains accurate in maligning the Federal Reserve for its deflationary, high-interest rate policy of the 1930's, which PROLONGED - not caused- the Great Depression. 

 

Today, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke claims he is a student of all this; and remains confident that by taking the opposite tack (zero prime interest rates) he can prevent a second depression, with an expansive - rather than restrictive - monetary policy approach.

 

But "zero-interest" Bernanke ignores the obvious at America's peril:

 

As Bernacke floods the world with cheaper U.S. dollars (unbacked by gold) to fund Obama's obscene deficits, our currency buys less a home, but enables other nations - now holding more dollars - to purchase more of the world's commodities, thereby making them more expensive to American consumers.

 

Have you priced a box of cereal lately? Or how 'bout an 8-pack of beer? Do you often wonder why- despite declining demand - U.S. gas prices remain "artificially" high?

 

Indeed- the dollar's trouble has begun:

 

As domestic prices keep going up (with interest rates zero) the Fed must either raise rates - or print more money. Thus, we are now imperiled by a possible "dollar-death-spiral" down to a third world country. As long as the bearded Fed boss keeps printing "money from nowhere"-  choosing to inflate the dollar - the situation only becomes worse.

 

In just the last quarter (March to June) the dollar's value has fallen an ominous 11% against the Euro....a result of the growing U.S. deficit (O-Bamanomics), which is reducing confidence in the dollar's value as it trades overseas. 

 

In stark terms, this means the European standard of living has risen 11%; but the American public's purchasing power is down by that same 11% - without even realizing it!

 

Indeed...dollar ignorance is NOT bliss! 

 

EXAMPLE #2: Let's say you're a real shrewdie, and you've hidden $100,000 in your basement freezer in "Benjamins" - $100 dollar bills.

 

Well guess what mister Shrewdie - although it's the same total amount - your NET loss since March is 11%. But despite the grievous decline from inflation, you did NOT even realize it; and those precious Benjamins are now worth only $89.00 each.

 

This is similar to why gambling casinos issue you chips; as you lose money, the loss seems ethereal; whereas if you were playing with actual dollars, losses would immediately be apparent, and you would withdraw from the game.

 

Hence there has been no political backlash against the recklessness of the sneaky fools that call themselves the Obama administration, as they treat America's dollar assets as if they were poker chips.

 

Thanks to their profligate spending/printing, sooner or later, the public will realize we are fast careening downward to an economic waterloo--- all of our own making.

 

What Obama and his two dunces- Bernanke and Geithner - are doing resembles a circus high-wire juggling act; but sooner or later it's bound to fall:

 

-How much longer can they keep the dollar from plunging?

-How much longer will the price of gold stay down?

-How much longer can they keep the level of the stock market up?

 

Any changes in one (or all of the above) will trigger the downward  spiral, and once begun, what's to stop it?

 

Right now the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been relatively healthy; but people have failed to notice the REAL leading indicator of trouble.

 

As of late June, the NASDAQ recently fell below 1800- a critical support level - portending  "net-zero" future job growth.

 

Why? This means entrepreneurs who start new companies (who list on NASDAQ) - now denied tax cuts and incentives - are literally frozen in fear by the political whims of Obama; and (like the1930's) lack confidence in hiring or expanding until the outlook becomes clearer. 

 

In the roaring bull market of 1982-87, it was the NASDAQ - not the Dow - that powered the decade-long 80's boom. 

 

Stocks of brand new companies like Apple & Microsoft - and the tech sector in general- were the drivers of America's economic growth during those "go-go" Reagan years.

 

And in the 90's, it wasn't the economic policies of Bill Clinton, but rather the wealth created by the booming rise in the NASDAQ, this time powered by the internet companies that were founded by the entrepreneurs of "Silicon Valley."

 

But as we head into the next decade, once again lets be very specific: the essential need for economic recovery calls for America to commence producing SOMETHING besides mountains of debt.

 

But lacking any real foundation, the Bernanke-Obama-Geithner juggling act WILL inevitably fall. The Fed's insane "money from nothing" printing press, and the Obama phony anti-stimulus, is just delaying the inevitable.

 

Have a wonderful life.

 

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Mr. Geithner's paper 'con' game

 

Has NBC found a replacement for Jay Leno to host the "Tonight Show"?

 

They only need look to our Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner (one of America's fastest-rising comedians) who, while in Beijing, recently told the Chinese..."Stand with us; we're doing all we can to protect the value of the dollar!"

 

Despite the uproarious absurdity of Mr. Geithner's pledge (con job), apparently the Chinese weren't much amused, with their $1.3 TRILLION in U.S. currency reserves now at risk to inevitable hyperinflation, as the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to churn out more paper money than in the entire history of Parker Brothers (creators of the game "Monopoly").

 

Picture the hapless situation of Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao:

 

After years of China's putting its "full faith & credit" in the United States, and buying reams of our AAA-rated treasury bonds, out of the blue comes Barack Obama on television ("60 Minutes") happily proclaiming..."deficits don't matter"...and predicting..."trillion dollar deficits for years to come." 

 

So is it any wonder that the U.S. dollar has now begun to head south, and along with it, the value of U.S. Treasury "T-notes" (bonds)?

 

The Chinese-- plus our other large creditors-- have now leaned away from purchasing (financing) our debt, and-- more ominously-- going so far as to suggest the creation of an alternative reserve currency as a hedge against the feeble dollar.

 

Evidently, world credit markets have had enough of  Mr. Geitnhner's con job.

 

The values of  U.S. T-notes have begun to fall in recent weeks, and  fears of inflation are now at the point where interest rates are being forced ever-higher to "bribe" the Chinese (et. al.) to go along with Geithner's appeal, and keep up their accumulation of  U.S. treasury bills.

 

Chinese economists have long fretted that at some point, the world would eventually lose its willingness to finance America 's rocketing national debt, as foreign bankers become ever more disdainful of our proclivity to consume far more than we produce.

 

And now, that point may have been reached:

 

Last year's turmoil in U.S. mortgage markets has profoundly shaken the world's faith in the resilience of the dollar-- more so than the bursting of the tech bubble in 2000, or even the terror attacks of 9-11. 

 

While most economists just recently would have dismissed the prospect of an outright dollar collapse, they now are debating the possibility that something on par with the debacle of the 1970's (when Nixon declared the dollar would "float" and no longer be backed by gold) might just happen again, and set off rampant inflation.

 

If the U.S. currency does begin to inflate rapidly, the Federal Reserve will find itself in between the proverbial  "rock-and- a-hard place," forced to either ratchet up interest rates-- which strangles the economy-- or alternatively, let the dollar fall, and watch prices of imports (and eventually, competing domestic goods) rise sharply; therefore, touching off even more inflation.

 

But even worse, Fed chairman Bernacke's reckless running of the printing presses has also raised the prospect of an unprecedented historical nightmare; one that could befall the United States in as little as the next 3-5 years-- a hyper-inflationary depression!

 

Currently, the only factor keeping inflation under control is a lull in American consumer spending; and the continuing reduced demand for imported goods portends an ongoing period of deflation.

 

But the storm clouds on the US currency horizon are gathering--and fast: 

 

Standard and Poor has put Great Britain on "watch". England's credit rating is about to suffer its first downgrade since 1914, as the country's debt approaches 100 percent of gross domestic product. 

 

The world's bond markets reacted with stunning surprise, taking U.S. Treasury bond yields up 1.5 percent for the year, and the 30-year long bond toward an astounding 5%.

 

In "plain English" this meant that the credit markets see no problems for the U.S. dollar in the short term (hence, the lower short term interest rates ), but down the road, there is now rampant fear of dollar inflation.

 

Attention has now suddenly focused on the possibility that-- like England-- the United States might lose its prized triple-A credit rating, placing additional calls for either large "defensive" interest rate hikes, or else trigger massive selling on the world's credit markets-- a possible collapse in both U.S. Treasuries and U.S. dollar values.

 

The world's investment community cannot easily be conned!  Obama's insane budget deficits will do nothing other than to hasten the end of the U.S. domination of the world's credit markets, which go back some 95 years to the onset of the first World War.

 

There is an inevitable, inescapable dollar crisis coming.

 

At some point, as the U.S. continues to print unbacked currency, our foreign creditors may no longer accept paper dollars because they are just that-- paper!  They may demand gold instead of payment in dollars.

 

Traditionally it  has always been the policy of the Federal Reserve to protect the banks-- not the dollar; but if we look beneath the rhetoric of Geithner, it's apparent that the Fed is now more concerned about “inflationary expectations” than inflation itself; and the Obama administration has deliberately misled the public about what inflation actually does, and how fast it’s happening.

 

And as the  U.S. continues to go along its merry way of importing everything, and exporting virtually nothing (other than software and entertainment) what then? The value of the U.S. dollar eventually becomes little more than a confidence game.

 

EXAMPLE: what makes a 100-dollar bill any different from a one-dollar bill, other than Benjamin Franklin's portrait vs. George Washington?

 

Answer- NOTHING. The only difference one is worth more than the other is simply because people say it is; ergo...the "confidence game."

 

This situation, where specie (i.e. gold or silver) no longer backs a nation's currency, is defined by the term "fiat money" ("fiat" is a Latin intransitive verb that means "it is" or, "it exists").

 

Fiat currency is simply the printing of notes (out of thin air) with no intrinsic value. The "confidence" is that the country's money is "valuable" because of its economic and military strength-- thus allowing the removal of gold and silver backing for its currency.

 

And as the U.S. prints new dollars at an unprecedented rate, you would normally find depreciation in its value because of dilution. But this is where the "con" played by Geithner has come into play:

 

Up till now, confidence in the Fed's ability control inflation has ben reflected by low, short-term interest rates; but to control the 30-year "long bond" (the  real indicator of inflation) will eventually become impossible; and rest assured, this will trigger hyperinflation.

 

Multiple choice question (select the best answer) 

 

Hyperinflation is usually triggered when:

 

a) Government spending as a percent of GDP approaches 40%

 

b) There is a large amount of government debt owed to foreign interests

 

c) The country has undermined its industrial base.

 

Answer: all the above

 

Every single example in history-- all the way back to Rome-- reveals that hyperinflation always begins during a deflationary period, combined with a rapid increase in the money supply, coupled with a rapid loss of confidence in the system.

 

So how can it be any different this time? As Obama continues to undermine our industrial base, and borrows from the Chinese to finance his insane deficits, what now happens? If the dollar's value sinks to the point where it can go no lower, and our recession deepens...then what?  
 
Then it's time to to break out the Kruggerands or Sovereigns (gold coins) hidden in the cellar, because American money won't be worth the paper it's printed on, and we enter a hyperinflationary depression-- a possible scenario where the U.S. might never recover.

 

Obama's reckless monetary policies are setting the scene for unprecedented disaster. Over time, this excess printing of money is akin to money growing on trees, and it will eventually destroy the value of the dollar in a wave of hyperinflation.


And without some economic miracle, we are headed into an inevitable downward, and irreversible spiral.

 

Despite the Obama administration's haughty portrayal of U.S. economic invinciblity, the immutable laws of economics cannot be repealed, even by the "Chosen One" himself.

 

In the words of Benjamin Franklin, we must never forget..."creditors have better memories than debtors." 
 
 
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Hyperstagflation-- Obama's leapfrog beyond the Carter disaster of the 70's


FLASHBACK TO THE GOOD OLD DAYS: Remember when you were a little kid, and Aunt Edna or Uncle Marty would come over to visit, and hand you MONEY? If they were a cheapskate, they'd maybe fork over a quarter (or a 50-cent piece); but if they were on the generous side, they might be good for a whole buck (or more) every time you'd see 'em.

But in any event, they'd always tell you to "put this in your piggy bank"..."save this for a rainy day"... or, "don't spend this foolishly"..."have Mommy save this for you," or even..."save this for college."
 
Oh yes-- those were the good ol' days indeed, when we all had that notion of SAVING pounded into us as children.

But nowadays, if we were to bestow upon our favorite nephew or niece (or grandchild) a cash handout, could we honestly look them in the eye and advise them to save it for the future? HAH!

Like the kitchen cookie jar, is a kid's bedroom piggy bank about to become obsolete? But what has changed? Why all the skepticism about our children's financial horizons?

Well, for the answer, just turn your prayer rug to the east, and hope that our wonderful Congressional legislators in Washington DC aren't setting us up for a nice, old-fashioned bout of hyperinflation--1920's Germany style.

Everyone has heard the story a million times of some poor-soul, hungry, hapless German pushing a wheelbarrow full of 'worthless marks' to the store for a loaf of bread; but maybe Americans should stop all their complacency, and begin to take this scenario seriously.

Imagine going into your favorite swanky restaurant, enjoying  a leisurely 5-course meal, and to your great dismay, discovering the price for the dinner has gone up since you first ordered! That's hyperinflation in the real world.

Or imagine going into a showroom, taking a gander at the window sticker, then after a long, inquisitive, and careful test drive, you return to the dealership and discover that same car now costs MORE than when you first saw it...that too, is hyperinflation in the real world.
 
Actually, hyperinflation has occurred twice in American history:

In 1775, the Continental Dollar was a series of notes designed to support the revolution. Its plates were crudely engraved by Paul Revere himself, and were printed on such thick paper that the British referred to them derisively as..."the paste-board money of the rebels."

Clearly, The British were on to something.

In the original 1775 printing, there were $6 million in new Continental notes; but by the end of 1776, the Continental Congress had ordered up $25 million of additional currency printed, and at the SAME time, the individual colonies were printing up their own money, called "bills of credit".

Can one even imagine the chaos of being paid in paper, that was worth little more than a mere promise-- i.e. not backed by gold or silver (specie)?

It is said that more men deserted at Valley Forge-- not so because of their unwillingness to fight the Redcoats-- but because they had no faith of being paid in questionable currency. After all, an AWOL continental soldier could expect to return to his farm and grow cash crops, or raise hogs for a TANGIBLE profit.

Incredibly, by 1781, Continental regulars had to shell out $600 for new a set of boots. And to add insult to injury, a soldier was charged a whopping $10 for a simple spool of thread, just to repair his tattered blue uniform (you were only issued one).

By the end of the war, there had been an incredible $241 million worth of continental dollars printed up, and they literally became wallpaper after they were declared worthless in November 1781, after undergoing a hyperinflation rate of over 2500 percent!

Remember--whenever people lose faith in the currency, there is always social chaos as a price to be paid.

By the end of World War I in 1918 Germany , it took TEN marks to purchase what just ONE would buy before the war. And by the end of the 1920's, the mark was also considered worthless, and from all the violence and social upheaval arose a Mr. Adolf Hitler.
 
Going way back, many Americans recall all the old jokes of being paid in "Confederate money." But if you were living in the South between 1862-1865, hyperinflation was nothing to laugh about.

During the Civil war, Confederate war financing consisted of over $1.5 billion in paper dollars that began depreciating BEFORE the ink had a chance to dry. Confederate officials had preferred that the currency be backed not by specie, but rather public confidence in the Confederacy’s survival after the war.

This being the case, each Southern state printed up their own personalized Confederate "brand" of currency (diluting the money further). Plus, the fact that these poorly printed bills were easily counterfeited would make things all the worse.

Ironically, the Confederate decision to print paper money in lieu of a system of taxation (or to not sell "war" bonds) brought on the most oppressive form of defacto taxation any society can endure--runaway hyperinflation.

By war's end, Confederate currency saw an incredible inflation rate topping 9,000 percent!

Predictably, there were thirteen known food riots in the South during the latter years of the war. Jefferson Davis tried to stop a bread riot in Richmond by offering rampaging housewives money from his own pockets. But his money was as worthless as theirs, and the angry mob only dispersed after Davis threatened that his troops would open fire if they didn’t skidaddle back home.

No matter what the era, loss of confidence in the currency begets hyperinflation...then opposing forces take over to accelerate it even further. These include unwillingness of suppliers to produce, and the consumers’ rising preference for hoarding of necessities, as it becomes incumbent to spend money as fast it comes in.

In hyper-inflation, money loses most of its value practically overnight, to the point where all confidence is lost. And thanks to our dearly-beloved Congress, and Bernard Bernacke's printing press in the fed basement, the rest of the world may soon regard the American dollar as the British once did in 1770's-- "not worth the thick paper its printed on."

And for all you skeptics out there who say..."Oh no, this couldn't happen in modern day America," then just look back in history and you'll see the future --and its not a pretty picture.

QUESTION: What has changed since the days of the Continental congress, when they ran the colonial printing presses flat-out for six entire years? ANSWER: practically nothing.

Nowadays, Congress and our central bankers just love to keep printing money, believing they can somehow "manage" the economy through the manipulation of interest rates and the money supply.

But unlike the colonial times, we have that looming problem of a national debt escalating faster than a speeding bullet train; and therefore, the government printing press is necessary to monetize the escalating federal debt that our leftist politicians thrive on, as they recklessly mortgage the future of both our country and our children.

Remember all the cool commercials for US savings bonds? Well bring 'em back! We need to resume selling them, as raising taxes has reached its upper limits.

In 2010, voters will undoubtedly seek to clean house in the midterm Congressional elections, but it may be too late; there may already be too much money in the deficit spending pipeline to avoid a financial apocalypse. It doesn’t take a genius to realize that ominous storm clouds are gathering on the horizon:

With Bernacke printing literally trillions of paper dollars and injecting them into our economy, inflation of the currency is inevitable. So can anyone deny this, and still be telling the TRUTH at the same time?

Now couple that with our rapidly rising unemployment rate--- according to the Department of Commerce, it’s at 8.75 percent; but these figures are being fudged by the Obama administration-- in all actuality, almost 1 in 7 people are out of work now, or will be shortly.

And what about economic development which requires investment? With both large and small businesses held hostage by what the pro-Socialist Obama administration may do next,  the economy (like the stock market) will inevitably languor in the future, faced with higher business taxes, cap & trade, environmental taxes on energy, and a general anti-business, pro-entitlement attitude in Washington.

But without some miracle, our economy has only one direction to go--south.

So let's do the final analysis: We're heading for something that never before has been seen in America--not even during the disastrous days of the late 70's Carter economy-- hyperstagflation!

And how can it be avoided, with high inflation, low economic development, and high unemployment?

Every single example in history-- all the way back to Rome-- reveals that hyperinflation always begins during a deflationary period, and is a combination of a rapid increase in the money supply, coupled with a rapid loss of confidence in the system.

So does this sound like a plausible scenario, given the insane, out of control, DEFICIT spending going in Washington today?

Now couple this with our foreign lenders, who may shut off the credit spigots, and we end up by the next decade with the worst of all possible economic scenarios-- a hyperinflationary depression!

And while there may be no bread riots, or people hauling dollars around in wheelbarrows for a pound of baloney, you can bet your last roll of pennies that if we do reap the consequences of Congress' incredibly profligate deficit spending, the United states will literally become a third world nation overnight, with gold at $2500/oz., gasoline at 11-12 dollars per gallon, grocery prices on the moon, and four-digit utility bills, with people riding bikes outside, and wood-burning cast iron stoves for "central heating" on the inside.

It'll be just like going back to the good old days, when modern conveniences weren't even around.

Back in his day, Thomas Jefferson often warned of the damage caused if the people assigned control of the money supply to the banking sector...(quote) "I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies."
 
Jefferson wrote..."If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of currency-- first by inflation, then by deflation-- the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property, until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered."

Now if only Jefferson were alive today, and could be appointed for Secretary of the Treasury.



www.keenobserver.blogtownhall.com

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"Fiscal marxism"-- Obama's secret passage to socialism


Thomas Jefferson- third President of the United States, sage philosopher, and brilliant author of the Declaration of Independence. A strong believer in individual rights, free speech, freedom of religion, as well as a free press.

However, what was indeed most noteworthy about President Jefferson is that he did NOT believe that the federal government should carry a large national debt.

Jefferson had long witnessed the narrow thread upon which the Revolutionary War dangled for all those perilous months, until Ben Franklin was able to persuade King Louie XIV that the colonies were indeed credit-worthy following their "shocking upset" victory at Saratoga-- which convinced the French (and the world) that the Americans were not just a bunch of rebellious upstarts.

As a result, by the end of the Revolutionary war in 1783, America was already in hock for 72 million dollars, which in those days, was a sum that threatened to derail the very establishment of our republic-- a nation that has mostly flourished for its entire 235 years.

So during his term in office, President Jefferson made a concerted effort at reducing the national debt, and repealed many federal taxes that had been put in by his predecessors.

Jefferson was the original Ronald Reagan.

While he is credited with the Louisiana Purchase, it may never have happened had the French not been so cash-strapped because of their ongoing contemporary war with England. Hence Jefferson was able to barter down the French all the way to the astounding desperation price of 3 million dollars, in return for doubling the size of America.

Jefferson, like Hamilton and Franklin, was one of our many Founders that "had a way" with money.

Back in the mid-1700's, writing in "Poor Richard's Almanac," Benjamin Franklin always encouraged the virtues of industry, thrift, and above all, staying OUT of debt. Franklin's  well known motto was, "neither a borrower nor a lender be."

A skilled horseman, Franklin wrote..."Prosperity, well mounted, when she let go of the bridle, would soon come tumbling out of the saddle" (i.e. prosperity is easily lost unless safeguards exist to prevent excessive debt).

Even 260 years ago as a young printer, he was a supporter and firm believer in free enterprise, for without it, Franklin understood there would be nothing to motivate one to make life better.

Franklin's insight also reveals that he deeply understood that without rules and regulations, it would only take a few to spoil things for everyone, and cause economic anarchy, writing: "Whither it bespeaks of commerce or sport, without rules there is chaos."

The Dutch Pennsylvanians living in Philadelphia influenced Franklin. They lived by the credo..." always pay cash for everything."

Throughout all time, the greatest leaders and philosophers of the world understood the importance of fiscal prudence. Hammurabi, Plato, Charlemagne, Dante, and both Queen Mary and Queen Elizabeth of England-- all condemned the perils of being in debt.

Now contrast all the above to another infamous and well known "monetarist", Vladimir Lenin, who believed in a rather different approach to economics..."The best way to destroy the capitalist system is DEBAUCH the currency".

Lenin continues:
 
"By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, SECRETLY and UNOBSERVED, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method, they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually ENRICHES some."
 
This is a shocking revelation into the mind of a marxist-- a stealthy covert approach to not only wealth re-distribution, but ruination of a nation!

Inflation is theft cloaked in monetary terminology. By eroding the value of a currency, inflation punishes producers, undermines investors and savers, and connives creditors slowly into ruin -- but all the while, rewarding debtors.

And where the U.S. is concerned-- inflation, high unemployment, and stagflation-- all are soon to become re-incarnated from the ghosts of a presidency past (circa 1980--Jimmy Carter).

In just the last five months there has been an explosion in M1, (the basic money supply) which is cash, total demand and government deposits with commercial banks, and money in all the federal reserve banks.

And to end our recession, Bernard Bernanke is busily printing money in the ole fed basement; thus we may about to be running an even greater risk than what Carter put us through-- hyper-inflation.

Hyperinflation can destroy a nation literally overnight, such as 1920's Germany, who's currency had collapsed tenfold after the end of World War I.

And with Barack Obama it may take awhile, but never fear, he'll see to it that we get there. After all, with a monetary marxist in charge, why should we even be concerned?

And what's to worry about? A measly projected 16 trillion dollar national debt by 2012? That's no big deal to Obama and his congressional komrades. Da! The more the merrier! Just keep Bernacke cranking away on his trusty printing press.

Money may not grow on trees, but to Obama & company it's the next best thing.

At the beginning of the year, we were paying approximately $450 billion a year on the national debt. But that total will probably rise up to near 650 billion by the end of our anti-president's first term. This is just the interest.

So our creditors will act just as any good credit card company would do. The more you owe, the less credit-worthy you become, and the higher interest rate you'll pay.

Obama's projections (just with his budget plan) will spend 23 trillion dollars over the next 10 years. 23 TRILLION!  And that's without adding in the "stimulus", or the "throw us all under the Omnibus bill," nor adding in the1 trillion dollars secretly sent into the economy  by Bernacke from his latest monopoly-money batch of fresh greenbacks.

At these withering monetary heights, even Vlad Lenin himself might have gotten the willies. The U.S. government is printing money to loan to itself. So that means, we take a trillion from our left pocket, write an IOU in place of it, and put that money in our right pocket.

Earth to Bernacke...You can't climb out of a hole by digging deeper! You cannot spend down debts with more debt. Even Herbert Hoover would blanche at trying that.

Yes indeed, Mr. Obama sure took that scalpel to government spending like he promised in his campaign. But isn't it funny how Obama supporters attempt to justify his outrageous spending proposals by pointing out that President Bush ran up the deficit as well?

Now that's a sure way to solve the problem. And to what end will these Obammunists spend?

Recently, Obama said he was... "scouring every corner of the budget to produce two trillion dollars in deficit reductions over the next decade"...and arguing that... "My economic proposals offer a long-term solution to America’s structural problems, and are not “a wish list of priorities that I picked out of thin air."

Yes Mr. Obama, we believe in you. We sure do.

All the initiatives over the last 6 weeks that were meant to "stimulate our economy" are pure political paybacks to the unions, the environmental fruitcakes, the pro-illegal immigrants lobby, and the "let's apologize to all the other countries of the world so they'll start to like us again" crowd.

Obama obviously believes in transferring wealth Lenin's way-- invisibly--via inflation, and by the establishment of his "world economic initiative."

And what about those wealth-destroying taxes on the people who--in Obama's mind-- have "more than they need".

Maybe it's time to re-introduce the words of Vladimir Lenin, who summed it up best...."By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, SECRETLY and UNOBSERVED, an important part of the wealth of their citizens."

These have really been the root of Obama's goals and achievements. He and his socialist admirers in the Congress are either so utterly stupid, or they have a grand plot to bankrupt the country, marching all together to the tune of Lenin & Marx-- the two "beatles" who wrote the tenets of communism.

And Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner in which... "not one man in a million is able to diagnose."

Obama's loathsome budget will bury the United States with his covert goal--a looming, pre-manufactured deliberate crisis-- where  the only way to NOT to have a total financial collapse will be for the government to seize control of every aspect of business.

Sound familiar?

This will result in having the United States turn from capitalism to complete socialism, which is the only thing that will come from Obama's budget-- a 21st century economy where our children are dependent on liberal government handouts forever.

There is no other reason for describing why Obama is doing what he is doing.

And either way, the free market republic our Founders fought so hard to establish, will not survive.



www.keenobserver.blogtownhall.com


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Will Obama and hyperinflation destroy this nation? Yes he can!


Get out the wheelbarrows. Prepare for heavy lifting. Congress is setting us up for 1920's Germany, and the hyperinflation that once destabilized that country-- leading to the rise of a Austrian lad who's grandfather went by the name of Shicklegruber (Adolf Hitler).
 
In only the last five months, the U.S. overall money supply (M-I) has nearly tripled. M1 includes cash, total demand and government deposits with commercial banks, and money in all the federal reserve banks. And according to best current estimates, M2 (the current money supply in circulation) is hovering at just around 7 trillion dollars--give or take a few hundred billion.
 
But ho hum--a hundred billion here and a hundred billion there-- no big deal to a Congress bent on keeping themselves in power, while they simultaneously destroy every American wage earner's standard of living-- perhaps permanently.
 
Our hallowed 111th Congress is acting like a college freshmen who's just received his (her) first credit card, deficit spending as if they were awarded some unlimited ethereal financial prize, to be spent as one sees fit --with no accountability--and no consequences.
 
To an extent this is true.
 
Yes, long after the inevitable hyper-inflation overcomes America- perhaps ten, fifteen, or even 20 years down the road, the recklessly-spending Congressional perpetrators can choose not to run, and retire on federal pension worthy of a monarch.
 
But does anyone realize that this money the Congress is now delegating for stimulus, supplemental budget expenses, etc. isn't real money, or in fact, that it is not OUR money?

The money is not borrowed. The money is PRINTED.

Current amount of money in circulation (M2) = 7 trillion. Now add the 1 trillion anti-stimulus bill Obama signed into law recently, and every dollar American workers will now earn is worth 14.2% less-- just like that.
 
Now add the 410 billion supplemental budget federal spending bill (earmark-laden) that has just passed, and do the math again: $410 Billion divided by $7 Trillion = 5%. That's right sports fans, in just 3 weeks, your buck has just turned into little more than 6 bits...an inflation rate of almost 20% in less than a month!
 
And the wheelbarrow is getting heavier --basically amounting from more debt to pay off debt. Such fiscal brilliance! The "big money" liberals trying make the impossible possible-- printing money backed by nothing, pretending the interest is free (non-existent).
 
Nancy Pelosi wants a second anti-stimulus bill; Fed chairmen Bernacke says the first one "may not have been enough". Barney Frank is calling for more stimulus. Obama wants 600 billion for revamping (socializing) health care...a Congress running rampant with earmarks...Hillary wants almost a billion to rebuild Gaza. And always accompanied with that ad-nauseum exhortation: "We need to act now."
 
Sure: Act now-- but pay later-- and to what disastrous end?

But mysteriously this fiscal recklessness is never called into question by the media. Even Herbert Hoover would probably know that to add more debt onto an already growing $12.4 trillion existing pyramid of financial obligation would invite catastrophe.

The annual debt interest payment right now is at $600 billion--and growing--an unsustainable amount. Yet Obama and the Congress want to add another 3.4 trillion in deficit spending to fund a boundless plethora of unending federal programs--fiscal insanity on steroids!

Meanwhile, "the bearded one"- Ben Bernacke-- will be toiling away, printing all this "new money" in the fed basement.

And it matters not when Bernanke injects this newly printed money into the economy—it’s how much that counts, because all fed injections immediately act to distort the nation's production structure. The larger the injections (and the longer they continue) the larger will be the distortions. These "funny-money" injections equal more dollars chasing the same amount of goods and services-- ergo...inflation-- which exerts downward pressure on the value of the dollar.
 
With the eventual surging of prices at home, and a depreciating exchange rate, foreign holders of greenbacks might one day decide that they have had "enough"-- starting a run on the currency by dumping their dollar balances-- forcing the Fed to raise interest rates ever higher, and triggering a more devastating recession; or a scenario even worse than the original Great Depression-- a second hyperinflationary depression-- 1920's Germany revisited.
 
In a more simple analysis, let's say we've been building a debt pyramid over the last decade, and now we'll be adding huge new amounts to the base at the bottom, while all the while, the interest will be coalescing at the top. And given time and the continuation of reckless deficit spending, the debt pyramid may become distorted in shape-- growing top heavy-- and at last, it tips over.

Ergo...hyperinflation.

But our beloved anti-president, Mr. Barack Obama, will be long gone out of office when and if that occurs; and of course, living large on his ex-presidential pension.

So should the "average Joe" be mindful about WHEN and IF we do run out of the printing option? And how much of a concern should it be now for all Americans, who already have more than enough to worry about concerning the economy?

Could the world eventually become so flooded with PAPER dollars, that some of our lesser foreign creditors begin to say: "Okay Meester Bernacke...we hold enough of these flimsy dollars now, so if your foolish American Congress wants more credit, we'll need something more solid than all this paper currency in return."

So bye bye Fort Knox...hello national insolvency. And then what?

Then it'll be time to break out the Kruggerands (gold coins) hidden in the cellar, because American money won't be worth the paper it's printed on-- and the Fed won't even have enough credit left to purchase the the green ink.

And the OPEC countries and the Chinese (previously reluctant to dun their number one trading partner) will then be forced to pull their "debt  triggers", and deliver the final coupe de' gras. Then its turn out the lights America-- the party's over. We'll have descended into the financial nether existence of a third world nation, totally bereft of all liquid assets, with liabilities extending "as far as the eye can see..."

So Mexico-- prepare for a taste of your own medicine: Americans might one day be reverse-migrating into your territory, with all of them seeking a sense of survival after hyperinflation comes to the fore, and completely destroys the affluence of a once-proud and powerful nation.


www.keenobserver.blogtownhall.com

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Say Brother, can you spare a trillion?

 
Prediction: the United States will begin an extremely anemic economic recovery later next year that will continue until early 2011. After that, when the bailout money has long dried up, America will slide back into another, even deeper recession.

Pretty blunt, eh?

And bluntness is exactly what's called for now. Americans should be asking pointed questions, and realizing that all this bailout-T.A.R.P.-stumulus jargon is nothing more than a trojan horse for printing money, and spending our way into an ethereal fiscal twilight zone, where numbers become unimaginable.
 
But the Dumbocrats and President Obama are gung ho about this insane so-called stimulus, which does exactly that-- a reckless, senseless, stupid attempt to print-n-spend our way out of a rapidly expanding recession.
 
And "only the government can break this cycle"... right Mr. Obama? More stupidity!  Only the government can MAKE this cycle (i.e. the pump-priming, deficit spending of the 1930's) .

The definition of insanity as read is: "Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results." How 'bout the definition of 'stupid'; is that much different?
 
Remember the New Deal? Franklin Roosevelt attempted to spend America out of a depression, and only prolonged the misery for an entire decade. If there ever was a time to go out and create a huge stimulus / spending / welfare bill, it sure isn't now.

But Admiral Obama blithely sails onward, seeking to re-arrange the deck chairs on the Titanic.

Sorry Mr. Obam-0h, your message of "Change" is very shortly going to go from "Change we can believe in," to..."Brother can you spare a dime?" This was the popular mantra of the 1930's, when Americans everywhere tried to slough through the hardscrabble misery of the original Great Depression.
 
And the the trillion dollar deficit economy of Obama might just get us into a second depression, or a ten year structural recesssion, complete with misery indexes, stagflation, and all those other nightmare statistics from the economic failure during the Carter years of the late 1970's.
 
And according to our econo-genius new president, we should plan to see "trillion-dollar deficits for years to come." 

1 trillion dollars...do we even realize how many zeros follow that?
Ai-yee...that's 12 zeroes to the left of the decimal point!  A trillion is a million-million dollars. It would take a military jet flying at the speed of sound, reeling out a roll of dollar bills behind it,14 years before it reeled out one trillion dollar bills.
 
Plus, think of the huge carbon footprint it would leave behind.

What is frightening is that Obama's expansive government deficit spending is on course to where well have a $4 trillion dollar budget in 2010-- zeromania on steroids! That's a mere 4,000,000,000,000,000. And for much of that Mr. Obama plans on borrowing from our overseas creditors.

Not exactly grounds for the Nobel Prize in economics.

It now takes more than all of the income taxes collected last year just to pay the 'debt service' (interest) on the national debt; and it is estimated that at the present rate of national debt increase, our national obligation will balloon to a tidy 18 trillion dollars by the year 2015. But to Barack Obama, a trillion here, a trillion there, ho-hum; nothing out of the ordinary.

Currently the national debt clock is ticking, and now stands at $9,937,463,000,000.00. Now consider that all this massive debt in addition to the still-ticking time bombs of Social Security and Medicare! What, me worry?


But with a 100% increase in the debt by the middle of the next decade, and no more income taxes left to pay the debt service, how do you suppose our children and grandchildren are going repay this unimaginable sum that every American today is leaving them?

Obtuse, dumb, stupid ...that's what these these reckless and pig-headed idio-moronic politicians are acting like.

And this idiopathtic notion that we can grow and prosper our nation by deficit spending, is just that-- stupid...moronic, and dangerous! If you destroy the economy it will never get moving again!

And what our government  politely calls "deficit spending" could aptly be described in a criminal court as "counterfeiting" and "check kiting"; but whatever the terminology, it all comes down to the same thing-- spending money one does not actually have.

Over time, this excess printing of money is akin to money growing on trees, and it will inevitably destroy the value of the dollar in a wave of hyperinflation. And inflation, in any form, simultaneously attacks all money, whether it's invested in some 401 K mutual fund on Wall Street, or stored within zip lock bags hidden in your freezer. Inflation can literally destroy a nation overnight.

So here we are with a stimulus plan that legally counterfeits the money we borrow, but yet, we expect it to stimulate the economy. But what it may stimulate is a rapid slide into insolvency.

So if we continue to print more money, what happens after the world eventually becomes flooded with currency, and the nightmare scenario ensues: the dollar's value sinks to the point where it can go no lower...but still the recession deepens. Then what?  The economic bungee cord breaks, and there’s no bounce back-- that’s what!

And Obama's famous quote on 60 Minutes,"deficits don't matter," is the last message that needs to be sent to a spend-happy Democratic Congress, where trillion has become the new billion; and dare we breathe it-- causes another depression.

And "deficits don't matter" may go down in history with Herbert Hoover's, "prosperity is just around the corner"..."two cars in evey garage"...and the infamous, "a chicken in every pot"; all the same phrases Mr. Hoover spoke in 1930 that marked the beginning of the acute phase of the original Great depression.

 

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