Posted by
thekeenobserver on Wednesday, November 26, 2008 8:52:19 PM
In 1988, George H.W. Bush campaigned on a promise of no new taxes, and handily defeated Mike Dukakis, the hapless Massachusetts liberal, in a mini landslide.
But by 1991, the clever Tip O’Neil (then democratic Speaker of the House) convinced the conservative Bush that a tax hike was needed to "shrink the expanding deficit". So Bush, in "a spirit of cooperation", warily acceded to the idea. But the deficit only widened, and the economy got weaker as more jobs were lost.
And despite Bush's masterful performance in the First Gulf War, James Carville and the other Clintonians, skillfully outmaneuvered the Republicans with the famous, "it's the economy stupid" mantra; and exit polls revealed that voters had elected Clinton mainly because Bush had lied about raising taxes.
Clinton took office, and promptly hiked taxes even higher.
Now flash forward to the remarkable similarity we have today.
Presently, our exalted president-elect, Barack Obama, is acting presidential in spades. He is rattling off new economic proposals faster than an auctioneer can bid up prices.
Obama continues to name an an ever-expanding array of new advisors, creating a brigade of impressively-credentialed former fed chairmen, ex-treasury secretaries, and hallowed economists, all too numerous to name without losing one's breath.
By the time Obama's done naming new advisors, they may have to construct a new office building on Capitol Hill to chair them all. But too many cooks spoil the soup.
And Obama knows the only true economic indicator that matters is the stock market. It is the true barometer and keeper of the nation's wealth and prosperity; and despite the recent upward movement, it's only--in the parlance of a broker--"a bear market rally".
The stock market tells the real economic truth. The value of its shares are the sum and substance of all the nation's businesses, and the insider-stockholders of each company know what's to come. They set the pace for the market's trend; and right now it's SOUTH. And will America continue to see its wealth disappear in fear of the socialist taxman, Barack Obama?
Investor behavior is seeded in emotion...there is fear... there is greed. The market despises uncertainty. And now there is great uncertainty about Obama's future tax policy.
This uncertainty fosters doubt. Doubt leads to fear. Fear leads to selling. Nothing complex; it's how any market works. But despite all his advisors, does Mr. Obama understand this?
But the one thing Mr. Obama undoubtedly does understand, is that he could easily calm the turbulent waters of the Dow Jones with a simple pronunciation..."No Wall Street; I won't raise taxes in a downturn!"
But Obama, ever the clever politician, is already plotting ahead for his second term, and he will not dare risk it by repeating the mistake of the first George Bush. So he will phlegmatically stand aside while the market trends ever lower; destroying the wealth of Wall Street and Main Street alike. Investors realize that raising taxes in a falling economy is akin to throwing an anchor to a drowning man, and they would rather sell now than risk drowning later.
But criticizing our august-sounding president-elect, is an exercise in futility. Obama acts confident, and sounds SO reassuring, that it only invites return fire and vicious liberal counter-attacks..."How can you say that about our new president?...what do you know?...give him a chance!...look what that *^*#**!* Bush did to us!... and now, look at all Obama is doing!
Yes America; let's look at what Obama is actually doing. His disastrous tax proposals are slowly crashing the market, just like it did between 1929-1932, when it went up and down, and trended ever lower. And all the while, the so-called "experts" said not to worry-- everything would be back to normal. But it wasn't. And it wasn't until 1954 that the market fully recovered.
So Mr Obama...what happened to your abandoned friend-advisor, Warren Buffet, who only a few month ago was your chief economist? He's a fallen star, and lies drowned in your political wake.
Only a few months ago, Mr. Buffet, the investor "expert", also urged America not to worry--and to step up and buy, because "stocks were on sale". As of today, Buffet has surrendered approximately 30% of his wealth, and there is no end in sight to the market's descent. And he can thank his buddy Barack...but he will not be able to return the favor.
Oh, and one other thing Mr Buffet sir...how about that saying of yours..."being fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful". People are obviously fearful now.
Recall how Obama got elected: he created common "enemies" of the people..."Exxon made 14 billion in profit last quarter"..."Big Oil is greedy"..."Bush-Cheney's failed tax-cuts for the wealthy"... "Wall Street greed is causing pain on Main Street." Is there a pattern in all this? To Obama and his cadre of liberal advisors, PROFIT is a dirty word, and tax cuts are verboten!(forbidden). And Wall Street knows this, and this will continue to tank the market ever lower.
And where has train-ridin' Joe Biden disappeared to? Did he board the wrong Amtrak departure? Yes, Joe Biden-- he of the patriotic tax hike mantra-- has also been abandoned by the Machiavellian Obama, who knows that he doesn't dare hint about his plans to tax the coal industries to bankruptcy, and force all smoke-stack industries to knuckle under to draconian new environmental regulations. And once again, the corporate insiders of the stock market are keenly aware, because THEY will suffer the most with these costly new regulations.
In Washington, Obama recently made a speech about, "forming new policies... adopting new ideas coming from fresh voices.... and new ways of thinking". How glorious! But it's just that old famous Obamian rhetoric, because Obama (the political kite) only does what he needs to do for the moment.
And right now, what he only needs to do, is to keep the rhetorical fires burning, and APPEAR to be really doing something, and keep his critics at bay. But he'll callously continue to ignore the true situation at hand - the falling stock market-- which will give him all the more reason to blame his favorite common enemy...the failed republican policies of the Bush administration..
And what new economic policies and ideas could possibly be out there? The laws of economics are basic…there is supply, and there is demand: and in a perfect world the two are always in balance. If you short one side, the other becomes bloated. There's only two options...either supply side, where you incentify producers, or the demand side, where you incentify the consumers.
And oops...we almost forgot! During your campaign, Mr. Obama, you constantly assured everyone there would be 5 million new green energy jobs created. Then after your election, it was about creating 2.5 milion new jobs in infrastructure, and in making houses and buildings more energy efficient. But now, it's about creating and SAVING 2.5 million jobs. And by next week, what will it be down to then?
But the actual boom in jobs created, will be in you favorite sector-- the federal government-- your employer of first (and likely last) resort. Wow, there sure won't be any recession or tough times in this sector! And ironically, you plan on spending more money in the next 2 years "creating" all this great assemblage of jobs, agencies and government programs, than the cost of the entire six year war in Iraq. And all the while, your glorified promise of the five million new renewable energy jobs will fade off into the political sunset.
So will we all see a return to prosperity? Only the federal government will prosper if this is to occur. Now couple this to all the infrastructure deficit spending, and the national debt could explode toward 15 trillion dollars. Oh well, if Bush doubled the deficit to five trillion, ole Barack-O and his congressional cohorts certainly are not to be outdone...they'll be more than proud to triple it.
And all the while, the more people who lose their jobs in the private sector, they will, in a sense, then be working for the government in the category titled "newly dependent". And Barack is quite aware of this economic law of averages... once there's enough of those who must survive on a government stipend, after the ratio approaches 45%-50% of the population, his re-election is assured.
But right now, as things get worse, Mr Obama, you'll still be on your honeymoon. And you'll use your political license as president-elect to constantly blare away about the " disastrous economy you inherited from George Bush", our #1 common enemy, “who caused all this”.
Your just so smart, Mr Barack Obama; no one since Niccolo Machiavelli himself, has ever been so politically clever as you.